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Spain is one of the European economies with the best prospects for 2025

Freedom24 analysts present their economic forecast report for this year for Spain, the Eurozone, and the U.S.

Forecasts would indicate that for the economies of the eurozone, sustained economic growth will only be possible with a global approach to reforms, infrastructure improvement, and support for human capital. The factors that would affect growth include the uncertainty of trade policy caused by potential U.S. tariffs, the weakening of the Chinese economy, and Germany's structural difficulties. Our country, however, stands out as one of the regions with the most optimistic prospects, although the Spanish government will also have to face structural challenges such as housing shortages, an aging population, and low activity rates. Investments in education, training, and infrastructure remain essential for long-term growth.
 
 Regarding the North American economy, it is expected that the year 2025 could be a robust period for both the economy and the stock market, resulting from an economic growth situation that is neither high enough to generate inflationary tensions nor too weak to cause a recession. One of the main risks will be the uncertainty associated with Donald Trump's presidency. Considering various factors, the general assessment for the first quarter is "neutral." Regarding fixed income, the analysts' recommendation is the inclusion in the portfolio of long-term investment-grade bonds, including U.S. Treasury bonds.
 
 Eurozone and Spain Outlook
 The European economy faces a mixed situation in 2025: growth will remain moderate due to structural and external challenges. The eurozone economy is expected to grow by 1.2%, reflecting a weak recovery in consumer spending and continued pressure on the industrial sector. Inflation is likely to stabilize around 2%, supported by the decline in service prices, but the global growth dynamic will remain fragile.
 
 The key factors affecting the outlook include the uncertainty of trade policy caused by potential U.S. tariffs and the weakening of the Chinese economy. Germany's challenges—demographic change, industrial decline, and the transition to electric vehicles—illustrate deeper structural difficulties that are unlikely to be solved quickly. Meanwhile, Southern European countries, including Spain and Portugal, should show more sustainable growth, driven by domestic demand and improved external competitiveness.
 
 The eurozone as a whole faces complex challenges. Slow growth caused by structural deficiencies, such as demographic changes and declining productivity in several key sectors, requires a concerted effort by member states. The European Central Bank is likely to continue easing monetary policy, but this is not enough to solve long-term problems, although it may be enough to sustain the stock market. Investments in the green economy, greater integration of labor and capital markets, and innovative approaches to trade and industry will be key drivers to maintain the region's competitiveness.
 
 Spain: Growth Driven by Domestic Demand and Competitiveness
 The Spanish economy is expected to grow above 2% in 2025, driven by strong domestic demand, rising wages, and high employment levels. The decline in inflation and interest rates will further stimulate consumption and investment. Efforts to increase renewable energy and a strong tourism industry will play an important role in supporting economic activity.
 
 However, risks persist. The effects of the DANA in Valencia have damaged the agricultural sector, and potential changes in U.S. trade policy could hinder exports. Additionally, the Spanish government will have to face structural challenges such as housing shortages, an aging population, and low activity rates. Investments in education, training, and infrastructure remain essential for long-term growth.
 Despite the challenges facing the eurozone economy, Spain stands out as one of the regions with the most optimistic prospects for 2025. It has demonstrated resilience thanks to strong management of domestic demand, investment in renewable energy, and fiscal responsibility. However, its successes must be considered in the context of broader structural and external challenges facing Europe.
 
 For Spain, it will be essential to continue developing its tourism industry and diversifying its economy. The sustainability of domestic demand and its support through real income growth and employment are strengths, but the risks associated with natural disasters such as the recent floods in Valencia, as well as a potential slowdown in tourism growth due to global uncertainty, require a proactive approach. Additionally, addressing affordable housing is becoming essential for quality of life and attracting skilled labor. Spain must continue investing in human capital, innovation, and infrastructure to increase its competitiveness in the global market.

 

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